1978年以来我国GDP与财政收入、货币供应量相关关系
时间:2019/1/14 11:22:25    来源:地方财政研究2018年12期      作者:佚名
1978年以来我国GDP与财政收入、货币供应量相关关系 |
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单位:亿元、% |
年份 |
GDP |
一般公共预算收入 |
货币和准货币(M2) |
财政收入占GDP比重 |
财政收入相对GDP增长弹性 |
M2占GDP比重 |
M2相对GDP增长弹性 |
数额 |
增速 |
数额 |
增速 |
数额 |
增速 |
1978 |
3678.7 |
11.7 |
1132.26 |
29.5 |
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30.8 |
2.5 |
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1979 |
4100.5 |
7.6 |
1146.38 |
1.2 |
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28.0 |
0.2 |
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1980 |
4587.6 |
7.8 |
1159.93 |
1.2 |
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25.3 |
0.2 |
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1981 |
4935.8 |
5.1 |
1175.79 |
1.4 |
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23.8 |
0.3 |
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1982 |
5373.4 |
9.0 |
1212.33 |
3.1 |
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22.6 |
0.3 |
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1983 |
6020.9 |
10.8 |
1366.95 |
12.8 |
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22.7 |
1.2 |
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1984 |
7278.5 |
15.2 |
1642.86 |
20.2 |
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22.6 |
1.3 |
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1985 |
9098.9 |
13.4 |
2004.82 |
22 |
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22.0 |
1.6 |
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1986 |
10376.2 |
8.9 |
2122.01 |
5.8 |
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20.5 |
0.7 |
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1987 |
12174.6 |
11.7 |
2199.35 |
3.6 |
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18.1 |
0.3 |
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1988 |
15180.4 |
11.2 |
2357.24 |
7.2 |
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15.5 |
0.6 |
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1989 |
17179.7 |
4.2 |
2664.90 |
13.1 |
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15.5 |
3.1 |
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1990 |
18872.9 |
3.9 |
2937.10 |
10.2 |
15293.4 |
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15.6 |
2.6 |
81.0 |
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1991 |
22005.6 |
9.3 |
3149.48 |
7.2 |
19349.9 |
26.5 |
14.3 |
0.8 |
87.9 |
2.8 |
1992 |
27194.5 |
14.2 |
3483.37 |
10.6 |
25402.2 |
31.3 |
12.8 |
0.7 |
93.4 |
2.2 |
1993 |
35673.2 |
13.9 |
4348.95 |
24.8 |
34879.8 |
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12.2 |
1.8 |
97.8 |
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1994 |
48637.5 |
13.0 |
5218.10 |
20 |
46923.5 |
34.5 |
10.7 |
1.5 |
96.5 |
2.7 |
1995 |
61339.9 |
11.0 |
6242.20 |
19.6 |
60750.5 |
29.5 |
10.2 |
1.8 |
99.0 |
2.7 |
1996 |
71813.6 |
9.9 |
7407.99 |
18.7 |
76094.9 |
25.3 |
10.3 |
1.9 |
106.0 |
2.6 |
1997 |
79715.0 |
9.2 |
8651.14 |
16.8 |
90995.3 |
17.3 |
10.9 |
1.8 |
114.2 |
1.9 |
1998 |
85195.5 |
7.8 |
9875.95 |
14.2 |
104498.5 |
14.8 |
11.6 |
1.8 |
122.7 |
1.9 |
1999 |
90564.4 |
7.7 |
11444.08 |
15.9 |
119897.9 |
14.7 |
12.6 |
2.1 |
132.4 |
1.9 |
2000 |
100280.1 |
8.5 |
13395.23 |
17.0 |
134610.3 |
12.3 |
13.4 |
2.0 |
134.2 |
1.4 |
2001 |
110863.1 |
8.3 |
16386.04 |
22.3 |
158301.9 |
14.4 |
14.8 |
2.7 |
142.8 |
1.7 |
2002 |
121717.4 |
9.1 |
18903.64 |
15.4 |
185007.0 |
16.8 |
15.5 |
1.7 |
152.0 |
1.8 |
2003 |
137422.0 |
10.0 |
21715.25 |
14.9 |
221222.8 |
19.6 |
15.8 |
1.5 |
161.0 |
2.0 |
2004 |
161840.2 |
10.1 |
26396.47 |
21.6 |
254107.0 |
14.7 |
16.3 |
2.1 |
157.0 |
1.5 |
2005 |
187318.9 |
11.4 |
31649.29 |
19.9 |
298755.7 |
17.6 |
16.9 |
1.7 |
159.5 |
1.5 |
2006 |
219438.5 |
12.7 |
38760.20 |
22.5 |
345577.9 |
15.7 |
17.7 |
1.8 |
157.5 |
1.2 |
2007 |
270232.3 |
14.2 |
51321.78 |
32.4 |
403442.2 |
16.7 |
19.0 |
2.3 |
149.3 |
1.2 |
2008 |
319515.5 |
9.7 |
61330.35 |
19.5 |
475166.6 |
17.8 |
19.2 |
2.0 |
148.7 |
1.8 |
2009 |
349081.4 |
9.4 |
68518.30 |
11.7 |
610224.5 |
28.5 |
19.6 |
1.2 |
174.8 |
3.0 |
2010 |
413030.3 |
10.6 |
83101.51 |
21.3 |
725851.8 |
19.7 |
20.1 |
2.0 |
175.7 |
1.9 |
2011 |
489300.6 |
9.5 |
103874.43 |
25.0 |
851590.9 |
13.6 |
21.2 |
2.6 |
174.0 |
1.4 |
2012 |
540367.4 |
7.9 |
117253.52 |
12.9 |
974148.8 |
13.8 |
21.7 |
1.6 |
180.3 |
1.7 |
2013 |
595244.4 |
7.8 |
129209.64 |
10.2 |
1106525.0 |
13.6 |
21.7 |
1.3 |
185.9 |
1.7 |
2014 |
643974.0 |
7.3 |
140370.03 |
8.6 |
1228374.8 |
12.2 |
21.8 |
1.2 |
190.7 |
1.7 |
2015 |
689052.1 |
6.9 |
152269.23 |
5.8 |
1392278.1 |
13.3 |
22.1 |
0.8 |
202.1 |
1.9 |
2016 |
743585.5 |
6.7 |
159604.97 |
4.5 |
1550066.7 |
11.3 |
21.5 |
0.7 |
208.5 |
1.7 |
2017 |
827121.7 |
6.9 |
172592.77 |
7.4 |
1690235.3 |
8.1 |
20.9 |
1.1 |
204.4 |
1.2 |
注:根据《中国统计年鉴-2018》整理所得。GDP增速为不变价。1993年M2口径调整,故1993年未计算增速及弹性。 |